Research

Working papers

 

Geographic Variation in Healthcare Utilization: The Role of Physicians

With Ivan Badinski, Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow, and Peter Hull
 

Representation and Extrapolation: Evidence from Clinical Trials

With Marcella Alsan, Maya Durvasula, Harsh Gupta, and Joshua Schwartzstein

 

Targeting Precision Medicine: Evidence from Prenatal Screening
With Peter Conner, Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Petra Persson

 

The NBER Orange Book Dataset: A User's Guide

With Maya Durvasula, C. Scott Hemphill, Lisa Larrimore Ouellette, and Bhaven Sampat
Conditionally accepted, Research Policy
 

What Drives Prescription Opioid Abuse?  Evidence from Migration
With Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow, and Dean Li

Publications

Optimal Vaccine Subsidies for Epidemic Diseases
With Matthew Goodkin-Gold, Michael Kremer, and Christopher Snyder
Forthcoming, Review of Economics and Statistics
One of two companion papers derived from NBER working paper #28085

 

Optimal Vaccine Subsidies for Endemic Diseases
With Matthew Goodkin-Gold, Michael Kremer, and Christopher Snyder
2022, International Journal of Industrial Organization 84: 102840
One of two companion papers derived from NBER working paper #28085

NIH Public Access PMC8975799

 

Place-Based Drivers of Mortality: Evidence from Migration
With Amy Finkelstein and Matthew Gentzkow
2021, American Economic Review​​​​​ 111(8): 2697-2735
NBER working paper #25975

NIH Public Access PMC8653912

 

Screening and Selection: The Case of Mammograms
With Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Tamar Oostrom, and Abigail Ostriker
2020, American Economic Review 110(12): 3836-3870
NBER working paper #26162

NIH Public Access PMC9300583

 

Who Profits from Patents? Rent-Sharing at Innovative Firms
With Patrick Kline, Neviana Petkova, and Owen Zidar
2019, Quarterly Journal of Economics 134(3): 1343-1404
Corrigendum
Copyright 2019, Oxford Journals
NBER working paper #25245
NIH Public Access PMC7470084
Online appendix

The More We Die, The More We Sell? A Simple Test of the Home-Market Effect
With Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, and Margaret Kyle
2019, Quarterly Journal of Economics 134(2): 843-894
Copyright 2019, Oxford Journals
NBER working paper #22538
NIH Public Access PMC6451965
Online appendix

 

How Do Patents Affect Follow-on Innovation? Evidence from the Human Genome
With Bhaven Sampat
2019, American Economic Review 109(1): 203-236
Copyright 2019, American Economic Association
NBER working paper #21666
NIH Public Access PMC6317741
Online appendix

 

How Do Patents Affect Research Investments?
2017, Annual Reviews of Economics 9: 441-469
Copyright 2017, Annual Reviews
NBER working paper #23088
NIH Public Access PMC5664960

 

Adjusting Risk Adjustment: Accounting for Variation in Diagnostic Intensity
With Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow, and Peter Hull
2017, New England Journal of Medicine 376(7): 608-610 
Copyright 2017, NEJM Group
NIH Public Access PMC5380362
Supplementary Appendix 1
Supplementary Appendix 2

 

Sources of Geographic Variation in Health Care: Evidence from Patient Migration
With Amy Finkelstein and Matthew Gentzkow
2016, Quarterly Journal of Economics 131(4): 1681-1726
Copyright 2016, MIT Press
NBER working paper #20789
NIH Public Access PMC5243120
Online appendix

 

Why is Infant Mortality Higher in the US Than in Europe?
With Alice Chen and Emily Oster
2016, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 8(2): 89-124
Copyright 2016, American Economic Association
NBER working paper #20525
NIH Public Access PMC4856058

 

Paying on the Margin for Medical Care: Evidence from Breast Cancer Treatments
With Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein
2016, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 8(1): 52-79
Copyright 2016, American Economic Association
NBER working paper #20226
NIH Public Access PMC4758371
Online appendix

 

Do Firms Underinvest in Long-Term Research? Evidence from Cancer Clinical Trials
With Eric Budish and Benjamin Roin
2015, American Economic Review 105(7): 2044-2085
Copyright 2015, American Economic Association
NBER working paper #19430
NIH Public Access PMC4557975
Online appendix
Data construction scripts
Awarded the Kauffman/iHEA Award for Health Care Entrepreneurship and Innovation Research
Awarded the iHEA Kenneth J. Arrow Award

 

Intellectual Property Rights and Innovation: Evidence from the Human Genome
2013, Journal of Political Economy 121(1): 1-27
Copyright 2013, University of Chicago Press
NBER working paper #16213
NIH Public Access PMC3955392
Online appendix

 

Estimating Marginal Returns to Medical Care: Evidence from At-Risk Newborns
With Douglas Almond, Joseph Doyle, and Amanda Kowalski
2010, Quarterly Journal of Economics 125(2): 591-634
Copyright 2010, MIT Press
NBER working paper #14522
NIH Public Access PMC2903901
Online appendix
Reply to Barreca et al.; 2011, Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(4): 2125-2131
Awarded the 2010 HCUP Outstanding Article of the Year award
Awarded the 2011 Garfield Economic Impact Award

Published Conference Proceedings

Private and Public Investments in Biomedical Research
With Maya Durvasula and Lisa Larrimore Ouellette
2021, American Economic Association Papers & Proceedings 111: 341-45
Copyright 2021, American Economic Association
NBER working paper #28349
NIH Public Access PMC8356751

 

Internalizing Externalities: Designing Effective Data Policies
With Ryan Hill and Carolyn Stein
2020, American Economic Association Papers & Proceedings 110: 49-54
Copyright 2020, American Economic Association

 

Is American Health Care Uniquely Inefficient?  Evidence from Prescription Drugs
With Margaret Kyle
2017, American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 107(5): 486-90
Copyright 2017, American Economic Association
NBER working paper #23068
NIH Public Access PMC5445925

 

Patents and Research Investments: Assessing the Empirical Evidence
With Eric Budish and Benjamin Roin
2016, American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 106(5): 183-187
Copyright 2016, American Economic Association
NBER working paper #21889
NIH Public Access PMC4880049 
Online appendix

Other Writing

Innovation: Market Failures and Public Policies
With Kevin Bryan
2021, Chapter 13 in Kate Ho, Ali Hortacsu, and Alessandro Lizzeri
Handbook of Industrial Organization 5(1): 281-388 
Copyright 2021, Elsevier
NBER working paper 29173
 

Reforming the Patent System
With Lisa Larrimore Ouellette 
2020,  The Hamilton Project: Policy Proposal 2020-12
Copyright 2020, Brookings Institution
Endorsed by Senator Thom Tillis in two letters (available here and  here) to the USPTO (see also here and  here)
Op-Ed published by Project Syndicate
Brief published by the German Marshall Fund of the United States #Tech2021 Project

 

A Toolkit of Policies to Promote Innovation
With Nicholas Bloom and John Van Reenen 
2019,  Journal of Economic Perspectives 33(3): 163-184
Copyright 2019, American Economic Association
 

On Shoulders of Giants
2018, Science 361(6408): 1195
Copyright 2018, American Association for the Advancement of Science

 

Standing on the Shoulders of Scotchmer: The Empirical Economics of Cumulative Innovation
With Jeffrey Furman, Fiona Murray, and Scott Stern
2017, in Stephen Maurer (editor),  On the Shoulders of Giants: 350-357.
Copyright 2017, Cambridge University Press

 

Intellectual Property Rights and Innovation: Evidence from Health Care Markets
2016, in Josh Lerner and Scott Stern (editors), Innovation Policy and the Economy Volume 16: 53-87.
Copyright 2016, University of Chicago Press
NBER working paper 21246

 

Innovation Inducement Prizes: Connecting Research to Policy
2012, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management  31(3): 752-776
Copyright 2012, Wiley-Blackwell

 

Incentivizing Innovation: Adding to the Tool Kit
With Michael Kremer 
2010, in Josh Lerner and Scott Stern (editors), Innovation Policy and the Economy, Volume 10: 1-17 
Copyright 2010, University of Chicago Press

 

Advance Market Commitments for Vaccines Against Neglected Diseases: Estimating Costs and Effectiveness
With Ernst Berndt, Rachel Glennerster, Michael Kremer, Jean Lee, Ruth Levine, and Georg Weizsäcker
2007, Health Economics 16(3): 491-511
Copyright 2007, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
NBER working paper 11288

 

Creating Markets for Vaccines
With Rachel Glennerster and Michael Kremer 
2006, Innovations: Technology | Governance | Globalization 1(1): 67-79 
Copyright 2006, MIT Press

 

Advance Market Commitments: A Policy to Stimulate Investments in Vaccines for Neglected Diseases
With Owen Barder and Michael Kremer 
2006, The Economists' Voice 3(3): article 1 
Copyright 2006, Berkeley Electronic Press

 

The Price of Life
With Rachel Glennerster and Michael Kremer 
2005, Foreign Policy May/June: 26-27 
Copyright 2005, Foreign Policy